Iowa's horrendous loss drastically alters its chances of earning a much-need double bye

An inexcusable loss to a previously two-win Penn State squad puts the Hawkeyes in a tough spot
Feb 28, 2026; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions guard Kayden Mingo (4) defends as Iowa Hawkeyes guard Kael Combs (11) looks to pass the ball during the first half at Bryce Jordan Center. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images
Feb 28, 2026; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions guard Kayden Mingo (4) defends as Iowa Hawkeyes guard Kael Combs (11) looks to pass the ball during the first half at Bryce Jordan Center. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images | Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images

Let's not sugarcoat it: that was a pathetic loss.

Iowa was finally starting to get back on track, winning two out of three games against No. 9 Nebraska and Ohio State.

The Hawkeyes were trending in the right direction after their 17-point victory over the Buckeyes earlier in the week, and had a prime opportunity to lock up a top-eight finish in the Big Ten standings.

Iowa hit the road to State College, PA to take on a bad Penn State team, and they flat-out faceplanted in a must-win game.

The loss all but drops Iowa out of double bye contention in the Big Ten Tourney

Excluding a shooting clinic by Cooper Koch (career-high 18 points), the offense went cold for long stretches, and the typically stout Iowa defense allowed the Nittany Lions to score at will from inside and the three-point line.

Penn State shot 64 percent from the field and 60 percent from three-point range, knocking down nine three-pointers in the 71-69 win over Iowa.

Entering the game, the Hawkeys had over a 90 percent chance of earning a double bye in the Big Ten Tournament with a win, and that fell to under 65 percent with a loss.

It is not impossible, but with games against Michigan and Nebraska on the horizon, it is not looking good for the Hawkeyes.

Iowa had a chance to wait until day three of the Big Ten Tournament for its first game, and it was almost a lock to make the NCAA Tournament.

With a loss against Penn State and two potential losses to end the season, Iowa must find a way to upset one or both of Michigan and Nebraska and win a game or two in the conference tournament to lock up a postseason spot.

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